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Using Convection-Allowing Ensembles to Understand the Predictability of an Extreme Rainfall Event
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his research uses convection-allowing ensemble forecasts to address aspects of the predictability of an extreme rainfall event that occurred in south-central Texas on 25 May 2013, which was poorly predicted by operational ...
Dynamical Insights into Extreme Short-Term Precipitation Associated with Supercells and Mesovortices
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn some prominent extreme precipitation and flash flood events, radar and rain gauge observations have suggested that the heaviest short-term rainfall accumulations (up to 177 mm h?1) were associated with supercells ...
Probabilistic Verification of Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractEight years? worth of day 1 and 4.5 years? worth of day 2?3 probabilistic convective outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) are converted to probability grids spanning the continental United States (CONUS). ...
How Does Vertical Wind Shear Influence Updraft Characteristics and Hydrometeor Distributions in Supercell Thunderstorms?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The impact of low-level moisture errors on model forecasts of an MCS observed during PECAN
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his article investigates forecast errors of the environment near an elevated mesoscale convective system (MCS) in Iowa on 24-25 June 2015 during the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) field campaign. The eastern ...
Double Impact: When Both Tornadoes and Flash Floods Threaten the Same Place at the Same Time
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hile both tornadoes and flash floods individually present public hazards, when the two threats are both concurrent and collocated (referred to here as TORFF events), unique concerns arise. This study aims to evaluate the ...
Reply to “Comments on ‘Double Impact: When Both Tornadoes and Flash Floods Threaten the Same Place at the Same Time’”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
A Hazard Multiple: Overlapping Tornado and Flash Flood Warnings in a National Weather Service Forecast Office in the Southeastern United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
TAMU TRACER: Targeted Mobile Measurements to Isolate the Impacts of Aerosols and Meteorology on Deep Convection
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Expanding the Concept of Knowledge Transition through Social Science Research
Publisher: American Meteorological Society