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El Nino—Southern Oscillation Impact Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon affects the atmosphere and ocean over much of the globe. The resultant atmospheric and oceanic anomalies can produce a variety of biological and societal impacts. Three ...
More on Early ENSOs: Evidence from Australian Documentary Sources
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Early documentary records of the British colony of New South Wales, Australia, have been examined for evidence of droughts. The years of occurrence of these early droughts were compared with the chronologies of El ...
commentary and analysis: The Insignificance of Significance Testing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) is commonplace in atmospheric research, despite the many criticisms that have been leveled against its use in other fields of research. NHST is used, in papers in almost every ...
Air-Sea Interaction and the Possibility of Long-Range Weather Prediction in the Indonesian Archipelago
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Evidence is presented supporting the hypothesis (first expressed over 60 years ago) that interannual fluctuations of early wet season rainfall in the Indonesian Archipelago can be successfully predicted from prior observations ...
Predictability of Interannual Variations of Australian Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The number of tropical cyclones observed in the Australian region during a single cyclone season has ranged from one to nineteen since 1909. Previous studies, using limited data sets, have suggested that interannual ...
The Use of Canonical Correlation to Study Teleconnections
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Canonical correlation is proposed as an exploratory technique for studying teleconnections. It is suggested that the technique can elucidate the temporal signature (i.e., the seasonally varying nature) of the teleconnections ...
Tropical-Extratropical Interactions in the Australian Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The mouths of October 1971 and 1972 were, respectively, months of heavy and light rainfall over much of Indonesia and New Guinea. The two months also showed considerable differences in the atmospheric circulation in the ...
Air-Sea Interaction and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Solutions to a set of differential equations representing a system of postulated interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere can reproduce certain hitherto unexplained aspects of atmospheric and oceanic behavior in ...
Comments on “Influence of Location, Population, and Climate on Building Damage and Fatalities due to Australian Bushfire: 1925–2009”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The absence of an upward trend in normalized building damage in Australian bushfires may reflect reduced vulnerability (due to improved weather forecasts and other factors) offsetting increases in the frequency or intensity ...