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Reanalyses and a High-Resolution Model Fail to Capture the “High Tail” of CAPE Distributions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Evaluating the Sensitivity of Agricultural Model Performance to Different Climate Inputs
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rojections of future food production necessarily rely on models, which must themselves be validated through historical assessments comparing modeled and observed yields. Reliable historical validation requires both accurate ...
Estimating Changes in Temperature Distributions in a Large Ensemble of Climate Simulations Using Quantile Regression
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractUnderstanding future changes in extreme temperature events in a transient climate is inherently challenging. A single model simulation is generally insufficient to characterize the statistical properties of the ...
Statistical Emulation of Climate Model Projections Based on Precomputed GCM Runs
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he authors describe a new approach for emulating the output of a fully coupled climate model under arbitrary forcing scenarios that is based on a small set of precomputed runs from the model. Temperature and precipitation ...
Changes in Future Precipitation Mean and Variability across Scales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society