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Climate Prediction for Brazil's Nordeste: Performance of Empirical and Numerical Modeling Methods
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Comparisons of performance of climate forecast methods require consistency in the predictand and a long common reference period. For Brazil's Nordeste, empirical methods developed at the University of Wisconsin use preseason ...
Subsynoptic-Scale Baroclinic Instability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A linear stability analysis of the hyperbolic tangent profiles is made. A Boussinesq primitive equation model with high vertical resolution is used. Unstable modes of intermediate scales (Lx ≈ 1000 km) are generated when ...
Climate Downscaling over Nordeste, Brazil, Using the NCEP RSM97
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The NCEP Regional Spectral Model (RSM), with horizontal resolution of 60 km, was used to downscale the ECHAM4.5 AGCM (T42) simulations forced with observed SSTs over northeast Brazil. An ensemble of 10 runs for the period ...