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Targeting Observations Using Singular Vectors
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Singular vectors with maximum energy at final time inside a verification area are used to identify the target area where extra observations should be taken, at an initial time, to reduce the forecast error inside the ...
Probabilistic Flood Forecasting with a Limited-Area Ensemble Prediction System: Selected Case Studies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A high-resolution atmospheric ensemble forecasting system is coupled to a hydrologic model to investigate probabilistic runoff forecasts for the alpine tributaries of the Rhine River basin (34 550 km2). Five-day ensemble ...
Interactions of Tropopause Depressions with an Ex–Tropical Cyclone and Sensitivity of Forecasts to Analysis Errors
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper focuses on the coupling between an ex?tropical cyclone and two preexisting mesoscale tropopause depressions (TDs). The TDs approached the cyclone from widely separated sources after becoming cut off from different ...