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    Reliability Analysis Using Adaptive Kriging Surrogates with Multimodel Inference 

    Source: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering:;2019:;Volume ( 005 ):;issue: 002
    Author(s): V. S. Sundar; Michael D. Shields
    Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
    Abstract: This work addresses the issue of model selection in adaptive kriging-based Monte Carlo reliability analysis. It is shown that arbitrary model selection (kriging trend and correlation) can lead to poor probability of failure ...
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    Direct Simulation Methods for a Class of Normal and Lognormal Random Fields with Applications in Modeling Material Properties 

    Source: Journal of Engineering Mechanics:;2021:;Volume ( 148 ):;issue: 002:;page 04021146
    Author(s): Pei-Pei Fang; Yong Liu; Michael D. Shields
    Publisher: ASCE
    Abstract: Normal and lognormal random fields are commonly used in modeling material properties. Many series expansion approaches are available to generate a normal random field, whereby a lognormal random field can be transformed. ...
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    General Multifidelity Surrogate Models: Framework and Active-Learning Strategies for Efficient Rare Event Simulation 

    Source: Journal of Engineering Mechanics:;2023:;Volume ( 149 ):;issue: 012:;page 04023096-1
    Author(s): Promit Chakroborty; Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala; Yifeng Che; Wen Jiang; Benjamin W. Spencer; Jason D. Hales; Michael D. Shields
    Publisher: ASCE
    Abstract: Estimating the probability of failure for complex real-world systems using high-fidelity computational models is often prohibitively expensive, especially when the probability is small. Exploiting low-fidelity models can ...
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    Probabilistic Modeling of Discrete Structural Response with Application to Composite Plate Penetration Models 

    Source: Journal of Engineering Mechanics:;2021:;Volume ( 147 ):;issue: 011:;page 04021087-1
    Author(s): Anindya Bhaduri; Christopher S. Meyer; John W. Gillespie; Bazle Z. “Gama” Haque; Michael D. Shields; Lori Graham-Brady
    Publisher: ASCE
    Abstract: Discrete response of structures often is a key probabilistic quantity of interest. For example, one may need to identify the probability of a binary event, such as whether a structure has buckled. This study used an adaptive ...
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