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Probabilistic Forecasts of the Onset of the North Australian Wet Season
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The amount and timing of early wet-season rainfall are important for the management of many agricultural industries in north Australia. With this in mind, a wet-season onset date is defined based on the accumulation of ...
Inferential, Nonparametric Statistics to Assess the Quality of Probabilistic Forecast Systems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Many statistical forecast systems are available to interested users. To be useful for decision making, these systems must be based on evidence of underlying mechanisms. Once causal connections between the mechanism and its ...
Impacts of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Australian Rainfall and Circulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Impacts of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) on Australian rainfall and circulation are examined during all four seasons. The authors examine circulation anomalies and a number of different rainfall metrics, each composited ...
Rainfall Variability at Decadal and Longer Time Scales: Signal or Noise?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Rainfall variability occurs over a wide range of temporal scales. Knowledge and understanding of such variability can lead to improved risk management practices in agricultural and other industries. Analyses of temporal ...