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RISCalculation of Average, Uncertainty Range, and Reliability of Regional Climate Changes from AOGCM Simulations via the “Reliability Ensemble Averaging” (REA) Method
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The ?reliability ensemble averaging? (REA) method for calculating average, uncertainty range, and a measure of reliability of simulated climate changes at the subcontinental scale from ensembles of different atmosphere?ocean ...
Assessing the Performance of Multiple Regional Climate Model Simulations for Seasonal Mountain Snow in the Upper Colorado River Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study assesses the performance of the regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) for the Upper Colorado River basin (UCRB), U.S. Rocky Mountains. ...
The Influence of the North Atlantic–Arctic Oscillation on Mean, Variance, and Extremes of Temperature in the Northeastern United States and Canada
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An analysis of detailed relationships between the North Atlantic Oscillation?Arctic Oscillation (NAO?AO) and local temperature response throughout the northeastern United States and neighboring areas of Canada is presented. ...
Untitled
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study evaluates snow water equivalent (SWE) over North America in the reanalysis-driven NARCCAP regional climate model (RCM) experiments. Examination of SWE in these runs allows for the identification of bias ...
Extreme High-Temperature Events: Changes in their probabilities with Changes in Mean Temperature
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Most climate impact studies rely on changes in means of meteorological variables, such as temperature, to estimate potential climate impacts, including effects on agricultural production. However, extreme meteorological ...
Potential Value of Expert Elicitation for Determining Differential Credibility of Regional Climate Change Simulations: An Exercise with the NARCCAP co-PIs for the Southwest Monsoon Region of North America
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this brief article, we report the initial results of an expert elicitation with the co-PIs (regional climate modelers) of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program regarding their evaluation of the ...
Towards Assessing NARCCAP Regional Climate Model Credibility for the North American Monsoon: Current Climate Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he authors examine 17 dynamically downscaled simulations produced as part of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) for their skill in reproducing the North American monsoon system. The ...
Quantifying Uncertainty in Projections of Regional Climate Change: A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Multimodel Ensembles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Bayesian statistical model is proposed that combines information from a multimodel ensemble of atmosphere?ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) and observations to determine probability distributions of future ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society