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General Circulation Model Sensitivity to 1982–83 Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Three control and anomaly simulation pairs run with the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences (GLAS) climate model have been analyzed in order to investigate the atmospheric response to the 1982?83 tropical sea surface ...
A Simulation of the Winter and Summer Circulations with the NMC Global Spectral Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The medium range forecast model of the National Meteorological Center (NMC) has been integrated to produce winter and summer simulations. For the winter simulation, the model was initialized with the NMC analysis of 1200 ...
The Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue Bias in a Coupled Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A set of multidecadal coupled ocean?atmosphere model integrations are conducted with different time steps for coupling between the atmosphere and the ocean. It is shown that the mean state of the equatorial Pacific does ...
Low Skill in Dynamical Prediction of Boreal Summer Climate: Grounds for Looking beyond Sea Surface Temperature
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Ensemble integrations of three general circulation models (Center for Ocean?Land?Atmosphere Studies, NCAR, and NCEP) have been performed over five different boreal summer seasons (June through September of 1986?88 and ...
An Evaluation of the Apparent Interdecadal Shift in the Tropical Divergent Circulation in the NCEP–NCAR Reanalysis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent decadal regime shifts in the large-scale circulation of the tropical atmosphere are examined using analyses and independent observations of the circulation and precipitation. Comparisons between reanalysis products ...
A Comparison of Climate Prediction and Simulation over the Tropical Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study compares an ensemble of seasonal hindcasts with a multidecadal integration from the same global coupled climate model over the tropical Pacific Ocean. It is shown that the annual mean state of the SST and its ...
An Analysis of the Nonstationarity in the Bias of Sea Surface Temperature Forecasts for the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) Version 2
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: or long-range predictions (e.g., seasonal), it is a common practice for retrospective forecasts (also referred to as the hindcasts) to accompany real-time predictions. The necessity for the hindcasts stems from the fact ...
Dynamical Seasonal Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Dynamical Seasonal Prediction (DSP) is an informally coordinated multi-institution research project to investigate the predictability of seasonal mean atmospheric circulation and rainfall. The basic idea is to test the ...
The Simulated Indian Monsoon: A GCM Sensitivity Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A series of sensitivity experiments are conducted in an attempt to understand and correct deficiencies in the simulation of the seasonal mean Indian monsoon with a global atmospheric general circulation model. The seasonal ...
High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations with the ECMWF Model in Project Athena: Experimental Design, Model Climate, and Seasonal Forecast Skill
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he sensitivity to the horizontal resolution of the climate, anthropogenic climate change, and seasonal predictive skill of the ECMWF model has been studied as part of Project Athena?an international collaboration formed ...