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    The Influence of Surface Forcings on Prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation Regime of Winter 2010/11 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2013:;volume( 141 ):;issue: 011:;page 3801
    Author(s): Maidens, Anna; Arribas, Alberto; Scaife, Adam A.; MacLachlan, Craig; Peterson, Drew; Knight, Jeff
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: ecember 2010 was unusual both in the strength of the negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) intense atmospheric blocking and the associated record-breaking low temperatures over much of northern Europe. The negative ...
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    Multimodel Prediction Skills of the Somali and Maritime Continent Cross-Equatorial Flows 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2018:;volume 031:;issue 006:;page 2445
    Author(s): Li, Chen; Luo, Jing-Jia; Li, Shuanglin; Hendon, Harry; Alves, Oscar; MacLachlan, Craig
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: AbstractPredictive skills of the Somali cross-equatorial flow (CEF) and the Maritime Continent (MC) CEF during boreal summer are assessed using three ensemble seasonal forecasting systems, including the coarse-resolution ...
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    Skillful Seasonal Prediction of the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic Ozone 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2014:;volume( 027 ):;issue: 019:;page 7462
    Author(s): Seviour, William J. M.; Hardiman, Steven C.; Gray, Lesley J.; Butchart, Neal; MacLachlan, Craig; Scaife, Adam A.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: sing a set of seasonal hindcast simulations produced by the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System, version 5 (GloSea5), significant predictability of the southern annular mode (SAM) is demonstrated during the austral ...
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    A Multisystem View of Wintertime NAO Seasonal Predictions 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2016:;volume( 030 ):;issue: 004:;page 1461
    Author(s): Athanasiadis, Panos J.;Bellucci, Alessio;Scaife, Adam A.;Hermanson, Leon;Materia, Stefano;Sanna, Antonella;Borrelli, Andrea;MacLachlan, Craig;Gualdi, Silvio
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: AbstractSignificant predictive skill for the mean winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been recently reported for a number of different seasonal forecasting systems. These findings are ...
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    The Representation of Atmospheric Blocking and the Associated Low-Frequency Variability in Two Seasonal Prediction Systems 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2014:;volume( 027 ):;issue: 024:;page 9082
    Author(s): Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Bellucci, Alessio; Hermanson, Leon; Scaife, Adam A.; MacLachlan, Craig; Arribas, Alberto; Materia, Stefano; Borrelli, Andrea; Gualdi, Silvio
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: rimarily as a response to boundary forcings, certain components of the atmospheric intraseasonal variability are potentially predictable. Particularly referring to the extratropics, the current generation of seasonal ...
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    Predictions of Climate Several Years Ahead Using an Improved Decadal Prediction System 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2014:;volume( 027 ):;issue: 020:;page 7550
    Author(s): Knight, Jeff R.; Andrews, Martin B.; Smith, Doug M.; Arribas, Alberto; Colman, Andrew W.; Dunstone, Nick J.; Eade, Rosie; Hermanson, Leon; MacLachlan, Craig; Peterson, K. Andrew; Scaife, Adam A.; Williams, Andrew
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: ecadal climate predictions are now established as a source of information on future climate alongside longer-term climate projections. This information has the potential to provide key evidence for decisions on climate ...
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