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The Influence of Surface Forcings on Prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation Regime of Winter 2010/11
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ecember 2010 was unusual both in the strength of the negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) intense atmospheric blocking and the associated record-breaking low temperatures over much of northern Europe. The negative ...
Multimodel Prediction Skills of the Somali and Maritime Continent Cross-Equatorial Flows
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractPredictive skills of the Somali cross-equatorial flow (CEF) and the Maritime Continent (MC) CEF during boreal summer are assessed using three ensemble seasonal forecasting systems, including the coarse-resolution ...
Skillful Seasonal Prediction of the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic Ozone
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: sing a set of seasonal hindcast simulations produced by the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System, version 5 (GloSea5), significant predictability of the southern annular mode (SAM) is demonstrated during the austral ...
A Multisystem View of Wintertime NAO Seasonal Predictions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSignificant predictive skill for the mean winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been recently reported for a number of different seasonal forecasting systems. These findings are ...
The Representation of Atmospheric Blocking and the Associated Low-Frequency Variability in Two Seasonal Prediction Systems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rimarily as a response to boundary forcings, certain components of the atmospheric intraseasonal variability are potentially predictable. Particularly referring to the extratropics, the current generation of seasonal ...
Predictions of Climate Several Years Ahead Using an Improved Decadal Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ecadal climate predictions are now established as a source of information on future climate alongside longer-term climate projections. This information has the potential to provide key evidence for decisions on climate ...