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Equatorially Trapped Waves at the 200 mb Level and Their Association with Meridional Convergence of Wave Energy Flux
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Equatorially trapped planetary-scale waves at the 200 mb level are isolated and their characteristics are examined using space-time spectral analyses of wind data in the latitude belt from 20°S to 40°N during the two ...
Unusual Late-Season Cold Surges during the 2005 Asian Winter Monsoon: Roles of Atlantic Blocking and the Central Asian Anticyclone
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The highest frequency of late-winter cold-air outbreaks in East and Southeast Asia over 50 years was recorded in 2005, when three strong successive cold surges occurred in the South China Sea within a span of 30 days from ...
Intraseasonal Predictability of Siberian High and East Asian Winter Monsoon and Its Interdecadal Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: urrent skill in the seasonal prediction of the Asian monsoon falls rapidly north of 40°N, where the Siberian high (SH) is a prominent manifestation of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). Variations in the SH are closely ...
Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity Near Taiwan Using the Bayesian Multivariate Regression Method
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Poisson generalized linear regression model cast within a Bayesian framework is applied to forecast the seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) counts in the vicinity of Taiwan. The TC season considered is June?November and the ...
Monsoon Convection in the Maritime Continent: Interaction of Large-Scale Motion and Complex Terrain
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Asian monsoon is a planetary-scale circulation system powered by the release of latent heat, but important features of deep convection and rainfall distribution cannot be adequately represented by the large-scale patterns. ...
Cold Surge Impacts on the Structure, Energy Budget, and Turbulence of the South China Sea Boundary Layer
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
A Source of AGCM Bias in Simulating the Western Pacific Subtropical High: Different Sensitivities to the Two Types of ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study reveals a possible cause of model bias in simulating the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) variability via an examination of an Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) simulation produced by the ...
Tropical Cyclone–like Vortices Detection in the NCEP 16-Day Ensemble System over the Western North Pacific in 2008: Application and Forecast Evaluation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An automated technique has been developed for the detection and tracking of tropical cyclone?like vortices (TCLVs) in numerical weather prediction models, and especially for ensemble-based models. A TCLV is detected in the ...
Bayesian Forecasting of Seasonal Typhoon Activity: A Track-Pattern-Oriented Categorization Approach
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new approach to forecasting regional and seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) frequency in the western North Pacific using the antecedent large-scale environmental conditions is proposed. This approach, based on TC track types, ...