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Detecting Climate Signals: Some Bayesian Aspects
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Bayesian approach to detecting forced climate signals in a dataset is presented. First, the detection algorithm derived is shown to be capable of uniquely identifying several signals optimally. Other detection techniques ...
Optimal Detection of Global Warming Using Temperature Profiles: A Methodology
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Optimal fingerprinting is applied to estimate the amount of time it would take to detect warming by increased concentrations of carbon dioxide in monthly averages of temperature profiles over the Indian Ocean. A simple ...
The Effects of Orbital Precession on Remote Climate Monitoring
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The effect of the diurnal cycle when monitoring the climate from low earth orbit is examined briefly. Equations are derived that relate the harmonics of the diurnal cycle to temporal sampling error and drift rates in that ...
Convective Generation of Gravity Waves in Venus's Atmosphere: Gravity Wave Spectrum and Momentum Transport
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The emission of internal gravity waves from a layer of dry convection embedded within a stable atmosphere with static stability and zonal winds varying in height is calculated. This theory is applied to Venus to investigate ...
Radio Scintillations in Venus's Atmosphere: Application of a Theory of Gravity Wave Generation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Radio scintillations in Pioneer Venus radio Occultation data are simulated assuming that the index of refraction fluctuations in Venus's atmosphere responsible for the scintillations are directly caused by gravity wave ...
Optimal Detection of Regional Trends Using Global Data
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A complete accounting of model uncertainty in the optimal detection of climate signals requires normalization of the signals produced by climate models; however, there is not yet a well-defined rule for the normalization. ...
Leveraging Highly Accurate Data in Diagnosing Errors in Atmospheric Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: curate data can serve the numerical weather prediction, climate prediction, and atmospheric reanalysis communities by better enabling the diagnosis of model error through the careful examination of the diagnostics of data ...
Prioritizing Data for Improving the Multidecadal Predictive Capability of Atmospheric Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he prioritization accorded to observation types currently being considered for a space-based climate observing system is extended from a previous study. Hindcast averages and trends from 1970 through 2005 of longitude?latitude ...
Climate Signal Detection Times and Constraints on Climate Benchmark Accuracy Requirements
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Long-term trends in the climate system are always partly obscured by naturally occurring interannual variability. All else being equal, the larger the natural variability, the less precisely one can estimate a trend in a ...
Determining Longwave Forcing and Feedback Using Infrared Spectra and GNSS Radio Occultation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The authors investigate whether combining a data type derived from radio occultation (RO) with the infrared spectral data in an optimal detection method improves the quantification of longwave radiative forcing and feedback. ...