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Scale-Selective Verification of Rainfall Accumulations from High-Resolution Forecasts of Convective Events
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The development of NWP models with grid spacing down to ?1 km should produce more realistic forecasts of convective storms. However, greater realism does not necessarily mean more accurate precipitation forecasts. The rapid ...
The Surprising Role of Orography in the Initiation of an Isolated Thunderstorm in Southern England
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Many factors, both mesoscale and larger scale, often come together in order for a particular convective initiation to take place. The authors describe a modeling study of a case from the Convective Storms Initiation Project ...
Convective-Scale Perturbation Growth across the Spectrum of Convective Regimes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractConvection-permitting ensembles have led to improved forecasts of many atmospheric phenomena. However, to fully utilize these forecasts the dependence of predictability on synoptic conditions needs to be understood. ...
Characteristics of Diagnostics for Identifying Elevated Convection over the British Isles in a Convection-Allowing Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Characteristics of High-Resolution Versions of the Met Office Unified Model for Forecasting Convection over the United Kingdom
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: With many operational centers moving toward order 1-km-gridlength models for routine weather forecasting, this paper presents a systematic investigation of the properties of high-resolution versions of the Met Office Unified ...
The DYMECS Project: A Statistical Approach for the Evaluation of Convective Storms in High-Resolution NWP Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new frontier in weather forecasting is emerging by operational forecast models now being run at convection-permitting resolutions at many national weather services. However, this is not a panacea; significant systematic ...
The Three-Dimensional Morphology of Simulated and Observed Convective Storms over Southern England
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: set of high-resolution radar observations of convective storms has been collected to evaluate such storms in the Met Office Unified Model during the Dynamical and Microphysical Evolution of Convective Storms (DYMECS) ...
Collaborative Efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to Advance Prediction of High Impact Weather
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: e international partnership between NSSL, SPC, and the Met Office has been enthusiastic and productive, driven by strong mutual interests at a grassroots level and generous institutional support from parent government agencies.
The Convective Storm Initiation Project
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Convective Storm Initiation Project (CSIP) is an international project to understand precisely where, when, and how convective clouds form and develop into showers in the mainly maritime environment of southern England. ...