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RISPredictability of Idealized Thunderstorms in Buoyancy–Shear Space
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThunderstorms are difficult to predict because of their small length scale and fast predictability destruction. A cell?s predictability is constrained by properties of the flow in which it is embedded (e.g., vertical ...
The Vice and Virtue of Increased Horizontal Resolution in Ensemble Forecasts of Tornadic Thunderstorms in Low-CAPE, High-Shear Environments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Testing Stochastic and Perturbed Parameter Methods in an Experimental 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Using NSSL’s Phased-Array Radar Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Advancing from Convection-Allowing NWP to Warn-on-Forecast: Evidence of Progress
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) program, driven by advanced data assimilation and ensemble design of numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems, seeks to advance 0?3-h NWP to aid National Weather Service warnings for ...