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RISAnalysis of the 1 December 2011 Wasatch Downslope Windstorm
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: downslope windstorm on 1 December 2011 led to considerable damage along a narrow 50-km swath at the western base of the Wasatch Mountains in northern Utah. The strongest surface winds began suddenly at 0900 UTC, primarily ...
Predictability of Idealized Thunderstorms in Buoyancy–Shear Space
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThunderstorms are difficult to predict because of their small length scale and fast predictability destruction. A cell?s predictability is constrained by properties of the flow in which it is embedded (e.g., vertical ...
Ensemble Forecast Uncertainty of the 1 December 2011 Wasatch Windstorm
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: downslope windstorm on 1 December 2011 led to considerable damage along a narrow 50-km swath at the western base of the Wasatch Mountains in northern Utah. Operational forecasts issued by the Salt Lake City National Weather ...
On Contrasting Ensemble Simulations of Two Great Plains Bow Echoes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ow echo structures, a subset of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), are often poorly forecast within deterministic numerical weather prediction model simulations. Among other things, this may be due to the inherent low ...
The Vice and Virtue of Increased Horizontal Resolution in Ensemble Forecasts of Tornadic Thunderstorms in Low-CAPE, High-Shear Environments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Testing Stochastic and Perturbed Parameter Methods in an Experimental 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Using NSSL’s Phased-Array Radar Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Advancing from Convection-Allowing NWP to Warn-on-Forecast: Evidence of Progress
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) program, driven by advanced data assimilation and ensemble design of numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems, seeks to advance 0?3-h NWP to aid National Weather Service warnings for ...