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Improving Reliability of Coupled Model Forecasts of Australian Seasonal Rainfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: easonal rainfall predictions for Australia from the Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA), version P15b, coupled model seasonal forecast system, which has been run operationally at the Australian Bureau ...
Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability in CMIP5 Historical Simulations for Southwestern North America
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rier future conditions are projected for the arid southwest of North America, increasing the chances of the region experiencing severe and prolonged drought. To examine the mechanisms of decadal variability, 47 global ...
Stochastically Generated North American Megadroughts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he importance of interannual-to-decadal sea surface temperature (SST) influences on drought in the United States is examined using a suite of simulations conducted with the T31?3 resolution version of the NCAR Community ...
Seasonal Forecasting in the Pacific Using the Coupled Model POAMA-2
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he development of a dynamical model seasonal prediction service for island nations in the tropical South Pacific is described. The forecast model is the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's Predictive Ocean?Atmosphere Model ...