Abstract: A technique for producing regional rainfall forecasts for southern Africa is developed that statistically maps or ?recalibrates? large-scale circulation features produced by the ECHAM3.6 general circulation model (GCM) to ...

Abstract: The skill of global-scale sea surface temperature forecasts using a statistically based linear forecasting technique is investigated. Canonical variates are used to make monthly sea surface temperature anomaly forecasts ...

Abstract: A regional climate model is tested for several domain configurations over the southwestern Indian Ocean to examine the ability of the model to reproduce observed cyclones and their landfalling tracks. The interaction between ...

Abstract: he recent increase in availability of high-performance computing (HPC) resources in South Africa allowed the development of an ocean?atmosphere coupled general circulation model (OAGCM). The ECHAM4.5-South African Weather ...

Abstract: orecast performance by coupled ocean?atmosphere or one-tiered models predicting seasonal rainfall totals over South Africa is compared with forecasts produced by computationally less demanding two-tiered systems where ...

Abstract: n an attempt to improve the forecast skill of the austral summer precipitation over South Africa, an ensemble of 1-month-lead seasonal hindcasts generated by the Scale Interaction Experiment?Frontier Research Center for ...