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RISEnsemble Hail Prediction for the Storms of 10 May 2010 in South-Central Oklahoma Using Single- and Double-Moment Microphysical Schemes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractExplicit prediction of hail using numerical weather prediction models remains a significant challenge; microphysical uncertainties and errors are a significant contributor to this challenge. This study assesses the ...
Evaluating Forecast Performance and Sensitivity to the GSI EnKF Data Assimilation Configuration for the 28–29 May 2017 Mesoscale Convective System Case
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Forecasting the 8 May 2017 Severe Hail Storm in Denver, Colorado, at a Convection-Allowing Resolution: Understanding Rimed Ice Treatments in Multimoment Microphysics Schemes and Their Effects on Hail Size Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractDay-ahead (20?22 h) 3-km grid spacing convection-allowing model forecasts are performed for a severe hail event that occurred in Denver, Colorado, on 8 May 2017 using six different multimoment microphysics (MP) ...
Explicit Ensemble Prediction of Hail in 19 May 2013 Oklahoma City Thunderstorms and Analysis of Hail Growth Processes with Several Multimoment Microphysics Schemes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractHail forecast evaluations provide important insight into microphysical treatment of rimed ice. In this study we evaluate explicit 0?90-min EnKF-based storm-scale (500-m horizontal grid spacing) hail forecasts for ...
The Impact of Assimilating ZDR Observations on Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts of the 31 May 2013 Oklahoma Storm Event
Publisher: American Meteorological Society