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Are Greenhouse Gases Changing ENSO Precursors in the Western North Pacific?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: sing multiple observational and model datasets, the authors document a strengthening relationship between boreal winter sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) and the development of ...
Reply to “Comment on ‘Characterizing ENSO Coupled Variability and Its Impact on North American Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature’”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Observed Relationships between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Extratropical Zonal-Mean Circulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: There is increasing evidence indicating that the climate response to variations in the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) includes not only thermally forced zonal wind anomalies in the subtropics but also eddy-driven zonal ...
Characterizing ENSO Coupled Variability and Its Impact on North American Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Two questions are addressed in this paper: whether ENSO can be adequately characterized by simple, seasonally invariant indices and whether the time series of a single component?SST or OLR?provides a sufficiently complete ...
Sources of Subseasonal Skill and Predictability in Wintertime California Precipitation Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
An Assessment of Errors in the Simulation of Atmospheric Interannual Variability in Uncoupled AGCM Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: For the uncoupled atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) simulations, the quantification of errors due to the lack of coupled ocean?atmospheric evolution on the characteristics of the atmospheric interannual variability ...
Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions during 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: model predictions of ENSO conditions during the 2002?11 period are evaluated and compared to skill levels documented in studies of the 1990s. ENSO conditions are represented by the Niño- 3.4 SST index in the east-central ...
Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions During 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Weakened Interannual Variability in the Tropical Pacific Ocean since 2000
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n interdecadal shift in the variability and mean state of the tropical Pacific Ocean is investigated within the context of changes in El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Compared with 1979?99, the interannual variability ...
Skillful Wintertime North American Temperature Forecasts out to 4 Weeks Based on the State of ENSO and the MJO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: revious work has shown that the combined influence of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly impacts the wintertime circulation over North America for lead times up to at ...
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