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Validating Atmospheric Reanalysis Data using Tropical Cyclones as Thermometers
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: emperatures in the upper troposphere of the atmosphere, near the tropopause, play a key role in the evolution of tropical cyclones (TC) by controlling their potential intensity (PI), which describes the thermodynamically ...
Daily Hurricane Variability Inferred from GOES Infrared Imagery
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Using the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service?Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (NESDIS?CIRA) tropical cyclone infrared (IR) imagery archive, combined with best track storm ...
Hurricane Wind–Pressure Relationship and Eyewall Replacement Cycles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he relationship between minimum central surface pressure and the maximum sustained surface wind in tropical cyclones has been studied for many years, motivated by the fact that minimum pressure is generally easier to ...
An Objective Model for Identifying Secondary Eyewall Formation in Hurricanes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Hurricanes, and particularly major hurricanes, will often organize a secondary eyewall at some distance around the primary eyewall. These events have been associated with marked changes in the intensity and structure of ...
Predicting Hurricane Intensity and Structure Changes Associated with Eyewall Replacement Cycles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: yewall replacement cycles are commonly observed in tropical cyclones and are well known to cause fluctuations in intensity and wind structure. These fluctuations are often large and rapid and pose a significant additional ...
Mesovortices, Polygonal Flow Patterns, and Rapid Pressure Falls in Hurricane-Like Vortices
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The present work considers the two-dimensional barotropic evolution of thin annular rings of enhanced vorticity embedded in nearly irrotational flow. Such initial conditions imitate the observed flows in intensifying ...
A More General Framework for Understanding Atlantic Hurricane Variability and Trends
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Atlantic hurricane variability on decadal and interannual time scales is reconsidered in a framework based on a leading mode of coupled ocean?atmosphere variability known as the Atlantic meridional mode (AMM). It is shown ...
Two Distinct Regimes in the Kinematic and Thermodynamic Structure of the Hurricane Eye and Eyewall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Using aircraft flight-level data, the present work demonstrates that the kinematic and thermodynamic distributions within the eye and eyewall of strong hurricanes are observed to evolve between two distinct regimes. In the ...
New Probabilistic Forecast Models for the Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he National Hurricane Center currently employs a skillful probabilistic rapid intensification index (RII) based on linear discriminant analysis of the environmental and satellite-derived features from the Statistical ...