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An Investigation of Composite Dropsonde Profiles for Developing and Nondeveloping Tropical Waves during the 2010 PREDICT Field Campaign
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: omposite dropsonde profiles are analyzed for developing and nondeveloping tropical waves in an attempt to improve the understanding of tropical cyclogenesis. These tropical waves were sampled by 25 reconnaissance missions ...
Ensemble-Based Error and Predictability Metrics Associated with Tropical Cyclogenesis. Part II: Wave-Relative Framework
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he predictability of selected variables associated with tropical cyclogenesis is examined using 10-day ECMWF ensemble forecasts for 21 events from the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season. Variables are associated with the ...
Ensemble-Based Error and Predictability Metrics Associated with Tropical Cyclogenesis. Part I: Basinwide Perspective
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: everal metrics are employed to evaluate predictive skill and attempt to quantify predictability using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System during the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, with an emphasis on large-scale variables ...
Tropical Cyclone Outflow and Warm Core Structure as Revealed by HS3 Dropsonde Data
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ropsonde data collected during the NASA Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) field campaign from 16 research missions spanning 6 tropical cyclones (TCs) are investigated, with an emphasis on TC outflow and the warm ...
On the Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone and Trough Interactions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe interaction between a tropical cyclone (TC) and an upper-level trough is simulated in an idealized framework using Coupled Ocean?Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) for Tropical Cyclones (COAMPS-TC) ...
Diagnosing Initial Condition Sensitivity of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) and Hurricane Ike (2008)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he response of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model predictions of two tropical cyclones to perturbations in the initial conditions is investigated. Local perturbations to the vorticity field in the synoptic ...
The Naval Research Laboratory’s Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System-Tropical Cyclone Ensemble (COAMPS-TC Ensemble)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Examining the Predictability of the Successive MJO Events of November 2011 Using Coupled 30-Day NAVGEM and COAMPS Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractGiven the prohibitive expense of running a global coupled high-resolution model for multiweek forecasts, we explore the feasibility of running a limited-area model forced by a global model on monthly time scales. ...
The Pre-Depression Investigation of Cloud-Systems in the Tropics (PREDICT) Field Campaign: Perspectives of Early Career Scientists
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: epression Investigation of Cloud-systems in the Tropics (PREDICT) field experiment successfully gathered data from four developing and four decaying/nondeveloping tropical disturbances over the tropical North Atlantic basin ...