Search
CSV
RISThe Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Inferred from the Forced Climate Response in Coupled General Circulation Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Instrumental sea surface temperature records in the North Atlantic Ocean are characterized by large multidecadal variability known as the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). The lack of strong oscillatory forcing of ...
Impact of Multidecadal Fluctuations in the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation on Indo-Pacific Climate Variability in a Coupled GCM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Using a multicentury integration of the third climate configuration of the Met Office Unified Model (HadCM3), the authors show that naturally occurring fluctuations in the Atlantic?s thermohaline circulation (THC) drive ...
Atmospheric Dynamics is the Largest Source of Uncertainty in Future Winter European Rainfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe IPCC Fifth Assessment Report highlighted large uncertainty in European precipitation changes in the coming century. This paper investigates the sources of intermodel differences using CMIP5 model European ...
Probabilistic Causal Network Modeling of Southern Hemisphere Jet Subseasonal to Seasonal Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Summer North Atlantic Oscillation: Past, Present, and Future
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Summer climate in the North Atlantic?European sector possesses a principal pattern of year-to-year variability that is the parallel to the well-known North Atlantic Oscillation in winter. This summer North Atlantic Oscillation ...
Atmospheric Blocking and Mean Biases in Climate Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Models often underestimate blocking in the Atlantic and Pacific basins and this can lead to errors in both weather and climate predictions. Horizontal resolution is often cited as the main culprit for blocking errors due ...
Systematic Estimates of Initial-Value Decadal Predictability for Six AOGCMs
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nitial-value predictability measures the degree to which the initial state can influence predictions. In this paper, the initial-value predictability of six atmosphere?ocean general circulation models in the North Pacific ...
European Climate Extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The authors estimate the change in extreme winter weather events over Europe that is due to a long-term change in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) such as that observed between the 1960s and 1990s. Using ensembles of ...
Testing for the Possible Influence of Unknown Climate Forcings upon Global Temperature Increases from 1950 to 2000
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: lobal-scale variations in the climate system over the last half of the twentieth century, including long-term increases in global-mean near-surface temperatures, are consistent with concurrent human-induced emissions of ...
Contrasting Conditions in the U.K. Winter of 2015/16 as a Result of Remote Tropical Influences
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWinter 2015/16 exhibited contrasting weather patterns in western Europe. Early winter saw a succession of high-impact storms, and December was the wettest calendar month recorded in the United Kingdom. February ...