Abstract: AbstractThis article shows that increasing the observation variance at small scales can reduce the ensemble size required to avoid collapse in particle filtering of spatially extended dynamics and improve the resulting ...

Abstract: AbstractLand surface models are notorious for containing many parameters that control the exchange of heat and moisture between land and atmosphere. Properly modeling the partitioning of total evapotranspiration (ET) between ...

Abstract: he authors introduce two ways to produce locally calibrated grid-based probabilistic forecasts of temperature. Both start from the Global Bayesian model averaging (Global BMA) statistical postprocessing method, which has ...