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RISSystematic Variation of Summertime Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific in Relation to the Madden–Julian Oscillation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The variability of observed tropical cyclone (TC) activity (i.e., genesis, track, and landfall) in the western North Pacific (WNP) is examined in relation to the various categories of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) ...
Spatially Inhomogeneous Trends of Tropical Cyclone Intensity over the Western North Pacific for 1977–2010
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he spatial distribution of trends in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity over the western North Pacific Ocean (WNP) during the period 1977?2010 was examined using five TC datasets. The spatial distribution of the TC intensity ...
Track-Pattern-Based Model for Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: killful predictions of the seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) activity are important in mitigating the potential destruction from the TC approach/landfall in many coastal regions. In this study, a novel approach for the ...
2010 Western North Pacific Typhoon Season: Seasonal Overview and Forecast Using a Track-Pattern-Based Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ourteen named tropical cyclones (TCs) formed in the western North Pacific (WNP) in 2010, representing the lowest count since 1951. Both low activity during the typhoon season (June?October) and quiescence during the pre- ...
Interdecadal Changes in Summertime Typhoon Tracks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The present work examines interdecadal variations of typhoon tracks in the western North Pacific (WNP) during the boreal summer (June?September) for the period 1951?2001. Typhoon tracks are expressed as percentage values ...
Dipole Structure of Interannual Variations in Summertime Tropical Cyclone Activity over East Asia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The present study examines variations in summertime (July?September) tropical cyclone (TC) activity over East Asia during the period 1951?2003. To represent TC activity, a total of 853 TC best tracks for the period were ...
Pattern Classification of Typhoon Tracks Using the Fuzzy c-Means Clustering Method
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A fuzzy c-means clustering method (FCM) is applied to cluster tropical cyclone (TC) tracks. FCM is suitable for the data where cluster boundaries are ambiguous, such as a group of TC tracks. This study introduces the ...
Bayesian Forecasting of Seasonal Typhoon Activity: A Track-Pattern-Oriented Categorization Approach
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new approach to forecasting regional and seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) frequency in the western North Pacific using the antecedent large-scale environmental conditions is proposed. This approach, based on TC track types, ...
Critical Role of Northern Off-Equatorial Sea Surface Temperature Forcing Associated with Central Pacific El Niño in More Frequent Tropical Cyclone Movements toward East Asia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: bservational records reveal that the number of tropical cyclones (TCs) approaching East Asia in July?October is positively correlated with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the equatorial and northern off-equatorial central ...
Data Assimilation Impact of GNSS RO Measurements from Cube Satellites on Arctic Weather Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society