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RISSystematic Variation of Summertime Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific in Relation to the Madden–Julian Oscillation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The variability of observed tropical cyclone (TC) activity (i.e., genesis, track, and landfall) in the western North Pacific (WNP) is examined in relation to the various categories of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) ...
Spatially Inhomogeneous Trends of Tropical Cyclone Intensity over the Western North Pacific for 1977–2010
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he spatial distribution of trends in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity over the western North Pacific Ocean (WNP) during the period 1977?2010 was examined using five TC datasets. The spatial distribution of the TC intensity ...
Track-Pattern-Based Model for Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: killful predictions of the seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) activity are important in mitigating the potential destruction from the TC approach/landfall in many coastal regions. In this study, a novel approach for the ...
2010 Western North Pacific Typhoon Season: Seasonal Overview and Forecast Using a Track-Pattern-Based Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ourteen named tropical cyclones (TCs) formed in the western North Pacific (WNP) in 2010, representing the lowest count since 1951. Both low activity during the typhoon season (June?October) and quiescence during the pre- ...
Variation of the Tropical Cyclone Season Start in the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he variation of the tropical cyclone (TC) season in the western North Pacific (WNP) was analyzed based on the percentiles of annual TC formation dates. The results show that the length of the TC season is highly modulated ...
Tropical Cyclone Mekkhala’s (2008) Formation over the South China Sea: Mesoscale, Synoptic-Scale, and Large-Scale Contributions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ropical cyclone formation close to the coastline of the Asian continent presents a significant threat to heavily populated coastal countries. A case study of Tropical Storm Mekkhala (2008) that developed off the coast of ...
Pattern Classification of Typhoon Tracks Using the Fuzzy c-Means Clustering Method
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A fuzzy c-means clustering method (FCM) is applied to cluster tropical cyclone (TC) tracks. FCM is suitable for the data where cluster boundaries are ambiguous, such as a group of TC tracks. This study introduces the ...
A Track Pattern–Based Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the North Atlantic
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: seasonal prediction model of tropical cyclone (TC) activities for the period August?October over the North Atlantic (NA) has been developed on the basis of TC track patterns. Using the fuzzy c-means method, a total of 432 ...
Bayesian Forecasting of Seasonal Typhoon Activity: A Track-Pattern-Oriented Categorization Approach
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new approach to forecasting regional and seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) frequency in the western North Pacific using the antecedent large-scale environmental conditions is proposed. This approach, based on TC track types, ...
Tropical Cyclone Simulation and Response to CO2 Doubling in the GFDL CM2.5 High-Resolution Coupled Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: lobal tropical cyclone (TC) activity is simulated by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) Climate Model, version 2.5 (CM2.5), which is a fully coupled global climate model with a horizontal resolution of about ...