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RISFirm Behavior in the Face of Severe Weather: Economic Analysis between Probabilistic and Deterministic Warnings
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
An Agent-Based Modeling Approach to Protective Action Decision-Related Travel during Tornado Warnings
Publisher: ASCE
Abstract: Tornadoes represent a significant threat to life and property and tend to evoke protective action in most people. Studies have suggested that many people travel to the nearest storm shelter or flee the area, rather than ...
Surface Energy Balance on the Arctic Tundra: Measurements and Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The progress made in the Land?Atmosphere?Ice Interactions Flux Study over the past 4 yr to fully characterize the biophysical fluxes in the snow-free tundra ecosystem and their relationship to climate and climate change ...
Examination of the Predictability of Nocturnal Tornado Events in the Southeastern United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractTornadoes that occur at night pose particularly dangerous societal risks, and these risks are amplified across the southeastern United States. The purpose of this study is to highlight some of the characteristics ...
Meteorologists’ Interpretations of Storm-Scale Ensemble-Based Forecast Guidance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: During the 2017 Spring Forecasting Experiment in NOAA?s Hazardous Weather Testbed, 62 meteorologists completed a survey designed to test their understanding of forecast uncertainty. Survey questions were based on probabilistic ...
Foundational Needs of Forecasters for Probabilistic Winter Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study explores forecaster perceptions of emerging needs for probabilistic forecasting of winter weather hazards through a nationwide survey disseminated to National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters. Questions addressed ...