Abstract: A number of studies have attempted to explain the cause of decadal variability in the tropical Pacific and explore its possible link to decadal variability in the midlatitude Pacific. To investigate some of the current ...

Abstract: The assimilation of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies into a coupled ocean?atmosphere model of the tropical Pacific is investigated using an ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF). The intermediate coupled model ...

Abstract: n ensemble of initialized decadal prediction (DP) experiments using the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4) shows considerable skill at forecasting changes in North Atlantic upper-ocean heat content and surface ...

Abstract: The Zebiak?Cane (ZC) model for simulation of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation is shown to be capable of producing sequences of variability that exhibit shifts in the time-mean state of the eastern equatorial Pacific that ...

Abstract: The seasonal and interannual predictability of ENSO variability in a version of the Zebiak?Cane coupled model is examined in a perturbation experiment. Instead of assuming that the model is ?perfect,? it is assumed that a ...

Abstract: he authors report on the implementation and evaluation of a 48-member ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF) for the ocean component of the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4). The ocean assimilation system ...

Abstract: r provides an update on research in the relatively new and fast-moving field of decadal climate prediction, and addresses the use of decadal climate predictions not only for potential users of such information but also for ...