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Consensus on Climate Trends in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: esearch on trends in western North Pacific tropical cyclone (TC) activity is limited by problems associated with different wind speed conversions used by the various meteorological agencies. This paper uses a quantile ...
Climate Mechanism for Stronger Typhoons in a Warmer World
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: iolent typhoons continue to have catastrophic impacts on economies and welfare, but how they are responding to global warming has yet to be fully understood. Here, an empirical framework is used to explain physically why ...
Bayesian Updating of Track-Forecast Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he accuracy of track forecasts for tropical cyclones (TCs) is well studied, but less attention has been paid to the representation of track-forecast uncertainty. Here, Bayesian updating is employed on the radius of the 70% ...
Influence of Global Warming on Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensities during 2015
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe climate of 2015 was characterized by a strong El Niño, global warmth, and record-setting tropical cyclone (TC) intensity for western North Pacific typhoons. In this study, the highest TC intensity in 32 years ...