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Global Numerical Weather Prediction at the National Meteorological Center
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper we describe the global numerical weather prediction system of the National Meteorological Center, and review recent improvements, the evolution in skill, and current research projects and plans.
Annual Cycle Integration of the NMC Medium-Range Forecasting (MRF) Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The NMC Global Spectral Model was integrated for one year. The model used is the same as the 1989 operational medium range forecast model except that the horizontal resolution was reduced from T80 to T40. Overall, the model ...
Large-Amplitude, Short-Scale Stationary Rossby Waves in the Southern Hemisphere: Observations and Mechanistic Experiments to Determine their Origin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Studies by van Loon and Jenne, van Loon et al., Trenberth and others indicate that stationary waves in the Southern Hemisphere are dominated by planetary scales. Kalnay and Halem reported the presence of large amplitude, ...
A GCM Study of the 1988 United States Drought
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: June 1988 has been classified as one of the hottest and driest months on record in the United States. This study used the NMC Medium-Range Forecast(MRF) T40 model to simulate circulation features of June 1988 and to ...
A Stochastic-Dynamic Model for the Spatial Structure of Forecast Error Statistics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A simple model that yields the spatial correlation structure of global atmospheric mass-field forecast errors is derived. The model states that the relative potential vorticity of the forecast error is forced by spatially ...
Impact of Satellite Data an the CDAS-Reanalysis System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In preparation for the execution of the National Meteorological Center and National Center for Atmospheric Research (NMC/NCAR) Reanalysis Project, which will cover the period 1958?93, the impact of satellite data on both ...
ENSO Bred Vectors in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The breeding method has been implemented in the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP) coupled general circulation model (CGCM) with the ultimate goal of improving operational seasonal to interannual climate ...
Dynamical Seasonal Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Dynamical Seasonal Prediction (DSP) is an informally coordinated multi-institution research project to investigate the predictability of seasonal mean atmospheric circulation and rainfall. The basic idea is to test the ...