Abstract: Hailstones have large damage potential; however, their explicit prediction remains quite challenging. The uncertainty in a model’s initial condition and microphysics are two of the significant contributors to the challenge. ...

Abstract: Operational prediction of flash floods produced by thunderstorm (convective) precipitation in mountainous areas requires accurate estimates or predictions of the precipitation distribution in space and time. The details ...

Abstract: This paper presents a multiscale hybrid ensemble–variational (EnVar) data assimilation strategy with an hourly rapid update aiming to improve analysis of convection via radar observations and of convective environment via ...