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The Forecast Skill of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in Two Global Ensembles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Tropical cyclone (TC) genesis forecasts during 2018–20 from two operational global ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are evaluated over three basins in this study. The two ensembles are from the European Centre for ...
Diurnal Cycle and Dipolar Pattern of Precipitation over Borneo during an MJO Event: Lee Convergence and Offshore Propagation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Surface precipitation anomalies over Maritime Continent islands typically lead oceanic precipitation by a week in the form of dipolar pattern before the arrival of Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) convective phase. The ...
The Maritime Continent Barrier Effect on the MJO Teleconnections during the Boreal Winter Seasons in the Northern Hemisphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Maritime Continent disrupts eastward propagation of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). This study surveys the impact of the disruption—often known as the barrier effect—on the MJO teleconnections. The MJO propagation ...
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