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Prediction Skill of the NAO and PNA from Daily to Seasonal Time Scales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The skill of state-of-the-art operational dynamical models in predicting the two most important modes of variability in the Northern Hemisphere extratropical atmosphere, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Pacific?North ...
Simulation of Systematic Error Effects and Their Reduction in a Simple Model of the Atmosphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Use general question considered in this is study is: To what extent does the maintenance of a correctly simulated quasi-stationary flow in a model influence the simulation of the transient part of the flow? and, in particular, ...
Transient-induced Climate Drift
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The climate drift of various quantities associated with deep, planetary-scale, equilibrated, transient Rossby waves are estimated for the Southern Hemisphere extratropical summer as revealed by the DERF II (Dynamical ...
On the Level and Origin of Seasonal Forecast Skill in Northern Europe
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the level and origin of seasonal forecast skill of surface air temperature in northern Europe. The forecasts are based on an empirical methodology, canonical correlation analysis (CCA), which is a method ...
Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictability and Prediction of North American Climate—The Atlantic Influence
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The question of the impact of the Atlantic on North American (NA) seasonal prediction skill and predictability is examined. Basic material is collected from the literature, a review of seasonal forecast procedures in Canada ...