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Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone Intensification: Deep Convective Cyclonic “Left Movers”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: eep convective processes play an important role in tropical cyclone (TC) formation and intensification. In this study, the authors investigate the interaction between discrete buoyant updrafts and the vertically sheared ...
Using Percentiles to Communicate Snowfall Uncertainty
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n objective technique to determine forecast snowfall ranges consistent with the risk tolerance of users is demonstrated. The forecast snowfall ranges are based on percentiles from probability distribution functions that ...
Precipitation and Temperature Forecast Performance at the Weather Prediction Center
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he role of the human forecaster in improving upon the accuracy of numerical weather prediction is explored using multiyear verification of human-generated short-range precipitation forecasts and medium-range maximum ...