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Genesis of Typhoon Chanchu (2006) from a Westerly Wind Burst Associated with the MJO. Part II: Roles of Deep Convection in Tropical Transition
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, the life cycles of a series of four major mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) during genesis and their roles in transforming a vertically tilted vortex associated with a westerly wind burst (hereafter the WWB ...
Genesis of Typhoon Chanchu (2006) from a Westerly Wind Burst Associated with the MJO. Part I: Evolution of a Vertically Tilted Precursor Vortex
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Although previous studies have shown the relationship between the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) and tropical cyclogenesis (TCG), many scale-interactive processes leading to TCG still remain mysterious. In this study, the ...
Numerical Simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998). Part III: Energetics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Despite considerable research on tropical cyclones (TCs), few studies have been performed to examine inner-core energy conversions because of the lack of high-resolution data. In this study, the TC energetic characteristics ...
Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone Intensification: Deep Convective Cyclonic “Left Movers”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: eep convective processes play an important role in tropical cyclone (TC) formation and intensification. In this study, the authors investigate the interaction between discrete buoyant updrafts and the vertically sheared ...
Using Percentiles to Communicate Snowfall Uncertainty
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n objective technique to determine forecast snowfall ranges consistent with the risk tolerance of users is demonstrated. The forecast snowfall ranges are based on percentiles from probability distribution functions that ...
Precipitation and Temperature Forecast Performance at the Weather Prediction Center
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he role of the human forecaster in improving upon the accuracy of numerical weather prediction is explored using multiyear verification of human-generated short-range precipitation forecasts and medium-range maximum ...