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Evaluation of the Storm Prediction Center’s Convective Outlooks from Day 3 through Day 1
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Storm Prediction Center issues four categorical convective outlooks with lead times as long as 48 h, the so-called day 3 outlook issued at 1200 UTC, and as short as 6 h, the day 1 outlook issued at 0600 UTC. Additionally, ...
Meteorological Factors Affecting Airport Operations during the Winter Season in the Midwest
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractDuring the coldest months of the year, weather systems bring a variety of winter weather to most of the continental United States in the form of snow, sleet, and freezing rain, which along with strong winds, low ...
Effects of Soil Moisture on the Longitudinal Dryline Position in the Southern Great Plains
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe dryline is among the most important meteorological phenomena in the Great Plains because of its significance in tornadogenesis, severe weather, and consistent rainfall. Past research has extensively examined ...
Determining Criteria for Missed Events to Evaluate Significant Severe Convective Outlooks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAmong the Storm Prediction Center?s (SPC) probabilistic convective outlook products are forecasts specifically targeted at significant severe weather: tornadoes that produce EF2 or greater damage, wind gusts of at ...
Evaluation of the Storm Prediction Center’s Day 1 Convective Outlooks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Storm Prediction Center has issued daily convective outlooks since the mid-1950s. This paper represents an initial effort to examine the quality of these forecasts. Convective outlooks are plotted on a latitude?longitude ...
An Object-Oriented Characterization of Extreme Precipitation-Producing Convective Systems in the Midwestern United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: xtreme precipitation was identified in the midwestern United States using an object-oriented approach applied to the NCEP stage-II hourly precipitation dataset. This approach groups contiguous areas that exceed a user-defined ...
Objective Limits on Forecasting Skill of Rare Events
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: method for determining baselines of skill for the purpose of the verification of rare-event forecasts is described and examples are presented to illustrate the sensitivity to parameter choices. These ?practically perfect? ...
Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Heavy Hourly Rainfall in the United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he climatology of heavy rain events from hourly precipitation observations by Brooks and Stensrud is revisited in this study using two high-resolution precipitation datasets that incorporate both gauge observations and ...
Trends in Undergraduate WxChallenge Performance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Characterizing Subdiurnal Extreme Precipitation in the Midwestern United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This research establishes a methodology to quantify the characteristics of convective cloud systems that produce subdiurnal extreme precipitation. Subdiurnal extreme precipitation events are identified by examining hourly ...