Abstract: simple and robust framework is proposed for the partitioning of the different components of internal variability and model uncertainty in an unbalanced multimember multimodel ensemble (MM2E) of climate projections obtained ...

Abstract: he effects of spatial aggregation on the skill of downscaled precipitation predictions obtained over an 8 ? 8 km2 grid from circulation analogs for metropolitan France are explored. The Safran precipitation reanalysis and ...

Abstract: AbstractThe quantification of uncertainty sources in ensembles of climate projections obtained from combinations of different scenarios and climate and impact models is a key issue in climate impact studies. The small size ...

Abstract: igh-resolution weather scenarios generated for climate change impact studies from the output of climate models must be spatially consistent. Analog models (AMs) offer a high potential for the generation of such scenarios. ...