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RISMechanisms Linking Volcanic Aerosols to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the sensitivity of the climate system to volcanic aerosol forcing in the third climate configuration of the Met Office Unified Model (HadCM3). The main test case was based on the 1880s when there were ...
How Skillful are the Multiannual Forecasts of Atlantic Hurricane Activity?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe recent emergence of near-term climate prediction, wherein climate models are initialized with the contemporaneous state of the Earth system and integrated up to 10 years into the future, has prompted the ...
A Multisystem View of Wintertime NAO Seasonal Predictions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSignificant predictive skill for the mean winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been recently reported for a number of different seasonal forecasting systems. These findings are ...
Comments on “Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and Limitations”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Representation of Atmospheric Blocking and the Associated Low-Frequency Variability in Two Seasonal Prediction Systems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rimarily as a response to boundary forcings, certain components of the atmospheric intraseasonal variability are potentially predictable. Particularly referring to the extratropics, the current generation of seasonal ...
A Decadal Climate Service for Insurance: Skillful Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Activity and U.S. Hurricane Damage
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Predictions of Climate Several Years Ahead Using an Improved Decadal Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ecadal climate predictions are now established as a source of information on future climate alongside longer-term climate projections. This information has the potential to provide key evidence for decisions on climate ...
Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and North Atlantic Jet: a multi-model view from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) on the North Atlantic storm track and eddy–driven jet in the winter season is assessed via a coordinated analysis of idealised simulations with state-of-the-art ...