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Verification of National Weather Service Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for Water Supply Forecasting in the Colorado River Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) system, developed by the National Weather Service (NWS), uses conceptual hydrologic models and historical data to generate a set, or ensemble, of possible streamflow scenarios ...
Confidence Builders: Evaluating Seasonal Climate Forecasts from User Perspectives
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Water managers, cattle ranchers, and wildland fire managers face several barriers to effectively using climate forecasts. Repeatedly, these decision makers state that they lack any quantitative basis for evaluating forecast ...
Understanding Uncertainties in Future Colorado River Streamflow
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ado River is the primary water source for more than 30 million people in the United States and Mexico. Recent studies that project streamf low changes in the Colorado River all project annual declines, but the magnitude ...
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