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Hurricane Track Prediction with a New Barotropic Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new barotropic prediction system for the tracks of tropical cyclones is presented. The system (referred to as WBAR) consists of an initialization procedure, a vortex enhancement scheme, and a shallow water model, formulated ...
Probabilistic Prediction of Tropical Cyclones. Part II: Intensity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new objective aid for operational probabilistic intensity (defined as maximum wind speed) prediction of tropical cyclones is presented. Based on statistical analyses of the performance of all operationally available ...
Probabilistic Prediction of Tropical Cyclones. Part I: Position
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new objective aid for operational prediction of the positions of tropical cyclones is presented. Its method is based on a simple analysis of the performance of all operationally available numerical models during a training ...
Hurricane Track Prediction Using a Statistical Ensemble of Numerical Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new statistical ensemble prediction system for tropical cyclone tracks is presented. The system is based on a statistical analysis of the annual performance of numerical track prediction models, assuming that their ...
The BMRC High-Resolution Tropical Cyclone Prediction System: TC-LAPS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new Tropical Cyclone Limited Area Prediction System has been developed at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre. The features of the new prediction system can be summarized as follows: first, a 12-h, ...
Operational Performance of a New Barotropic Model (WBAR) in the Western North Pacific Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Weber barotropic model (WBAR) was originally developed using predefined 850?200-hPa analyses and forecasts from the NCEP Global Forecasting System. The WBAR tropical cyclone (TC) track forecast performance was found ...
Evaluation of the Flow Distortion around the Campbell Scientific CSAT3 Sonic Anemometer Relative to Incident Wind Direction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In June 2002, a high-frequency air?sea momentum system was deployed in the surf zone for 3 days as part of an experiment to quantify air?sea momentum transfer when the wind and wave direction were at angles. The system ...
Influence of Environmental Vertical Wind Shear on the Intensity of Hurricane-Strength Tropical Cyclones in the Australian Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: NCEP?NCAR reanalyses have been used to investigate the impact of environmental wind shear on the intensity change of hurricane-strength tropical cyclones in the Australian region. A method of removing a symmetric vortex ...
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