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Objective Winter Temperature Forecasts: An Update and Extension to the Western United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study expands on previous studies (Harnack and Landsberg, 1978; Harnack, 1979) in that objective, statistical winter temperature forecast models are tested and verified for three additional winters (1979?81); models ...
An Appraisal of the Circulation and Temperature Pattern for Winter 1978–79 and a Comparison with the Previous Two Winters
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The mean Northern Hemispheric circulation and United States temperature pattern of the winter 1978?79 are discussed and compared with those of the previous two winters. It is found that, although the Arctic and North ...
A Further Assessment of Winter Temperature Predictions Using Objective Methods
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Various statistical models were tested for their reliability in predicting mean winter temperatures in the eastern and central United States. This study was designed td extend, and improve upon, a previous study, which ...
Predictability of Monthly North Pacific Sea Level Pressure from Monthly Sea Surface Temperature for the Period 1933–1976
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Statistical models were developed to specify and predict the mean monthly sea level pressure (SLP) distribution over the central and eastern North Pacific Ocean from the mean monthly sea surface temperature (SST) distribution ...
The January Thaw at New Brunswick, NJ
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An investigation of the January thaw phenomenon, a period of unseasonable warmth, was conducted using daily maximum temperatures recorded at New Brunswick, New Jersey, from 1858?1981. Student's t-tests, comparing long-term ...
Specification of United States Summer Season Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The specification of summer season precipitation in the contiguous United States from summer season fields of 700 mb height, sea level pressure (SLP) and Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) was carried out using stepwise ...
Specification of United States Seasonal Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Seasonal precipitation is specified for the United States by matching various area-averaged precipitation statistics as predictands with three different predictors in turn: 700 mb heights, North Pacific SST and North ...
Specification of Seasonal-Mean 700 mb Heights over North America by North Pacific and North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: North Pacific and North Atlantic SST (sea surface temperature) were used separately and in combination to specify seasonal-mean North American 700 mb heights. One of the goals was to quantify these relationships so that ...
The Effect of Intraseasonal Circulation Variability on Winter Temperature Forecast Skill
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The prediction of winter in the United States from Pacific sea surface temperatures was examined using a jackknifed regression scheme and a measure of intraseasonal atmospheric circulation variability. Employing a jackknifed ...
Associations between Sea Surface Temperature Gradient and Overlying Mid-Tropospheric Circulation in the North Pacific Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An attempt was made to verify and further investigate a proposed relationship between the location of the maximum east-west sea surface temperature anomaly gradient (?SSTA) and the location of the maximum meridional component ...