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RISDiagnosing Conditions Associated with Large Intensity Forecast Errors in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractUnderstanding and forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change continues to be a paramount challenge for the research and operational communities, partly because of inherent systematic biases contained in ...
Climatology of Estimated Altimeter Error due to Nonstandard Temperatures
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
A Comparison of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecast Verification from Three Global Forecast System (GFS) Operational Configurations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Observed versus GCM-Generated Local Tropical Cyclone Frequency: Comparisons Using a Spatial Lattice
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: f broad scientific and public interest is the reliability of global climate models (GCMs) to simulate future regional and local tropical cyclone (TC) occurrences. Atmospheric GCMs are now able to generate vortices resembling ...
The Development and Evaluation of a Statistical–Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance Tool
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he National Hurricane Center (NHC) has stated that guidance on tropical cyclone (TC) genesis is an operational forecast improvement need, particularly since numerical weather prediction models produce TC-like features and ...
Verification of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts from Global Numerical Models: Comparisons between the North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ccurately forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) genesis is an important operational need, especially since the National Hurricane Center?s Tropical Weather Outlook product has been extended from 2 to 5 days. A previous study ...
An Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts from Global Numerical Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ropical cyclone (TC) forecasts rely heavily on output from global numerical models. While considerable research has investigated the skill of various models with respect to track and intensity, few studies have considered ...