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The Use of Synthetic Hurricane Tracks in Risk Analysis and Climate Change Damage Assessment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Because of the lack of data on past hurricanes, empirical evaluations of the statistics needed for risk management are very uncertain. An alternative strategy is to use a hurricane model to produce large sets of synthetic ...
Predictors of Tropical Cyclone Numbers and Extreme Hurricane Intensities over the North Atlantic Using Generalized Additive and Linear Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Fluctuations of the annual number of tropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and of the energy dissipated by the most intense hurricane of a season are related to a variety of predictors [global temperature, SST and ...
An Elicitation of the Dynamic Nature of Water Vapor Feedback in Climate Change Using a 1D Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The concept of feedback has been used by several authors in the field of climate science to describe the behavior of models and to assess the importance of the different mechanisms at stake. Here, a simple 1D model of ...
How Well Do We Understand and Evaluate Climate Change Feedback Processes?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Processes in the climate system that can either amplify or dampen the climate response to an external perturbation are referred to as climate feedbacks. Climate sensitivity estimates depend critically on radiative feedbacks ...