Abstract: new statistical model for western North Pacific Ocean tropical cyclone genesis and tracks is developed and applied to estimate regionally resolved tropical cyclone landfall rates along the coasts of the Asian mainland, ...

Abstract: mprovements on a statistical tropical cyclone (TC) track model in the western North Pacific Ocean are described. The goal of the model is to study the effect of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on East Asian TC landfall. ...

Abstract: Two statistical methods for predicting the number of tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall on sections of the North American coastline are compared. The first method?the ?local model??is derived exclusively from historical ...

Abstract: Transport in the atmosphere and in the ocean is the result of the complex action of time-dependent and often highly turbulent flow. A useful diagnostic that summarizes the rate at which fluid elements are transported from ...

Abstract: The idealized age tracer is commonly used to diagnose transport in ocean models and to help interpret ocean measurements. In most studies only the steady-state distribution, the result of many centuries of model integration, ...

Abstract: A general theory to describe and understand advective and diffusive ocean transport is reported. It allows any passive tracer field with an atmospheric source to be constructed by superposing sea surface contributions with ...

Abstract: The propagation of a range of tracer signals in a simple model of the deep western boundary current is examined. Analytical expressions are derived in certain limits for the transit-time distributions and the propagation ...

Abstract: Ensembles of three simulations each, forced by June?September 1987 and 1988 sea surface temperatures, respectively, were made with a new version of the general circulation model of the National Aeronautics and Space ...

Abstract: Simulations made with the general circulation model of the NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS GCM) run at 4° latitude by 5° longitude horizontal resolution are analyzed to determine the model's representation ...