Abstract: xperiments with the single-column implementation of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model provide a basis for deducing land?atmosphere coupling errors in the model. Coupling occurs both through heat and moisture fluxes ...

Abstract: our model-error schemes for probabilistic forecasts over the contiguous United States with the WRF-ARW mesoscale ensemble system are evaluated in regard to performance. Including a model-error representation leads to ...

Abstract: multiphysics and a stochastic kinetic-energy backscatter scheme are employed to represent model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system using the Weather Research and Forecasting model. Both model-error schemes ...