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THE PREDICTION OF SURGES IN THE SOUTHERN BASIN OF LAKE MICHIGAN
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The development of operational surge prediction in southern Lake Michigan is reviewed through the 10-year span starting with the disastrous surge of June 26, 1954 which took several lives in the Chicago area. Particular ...
ON THE LOW-LEVEL STRUCTURE OF TROPICAL STORMS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Data from a number of reconnaissance flights into large Pacific tropical cyclones are combined to obtain a generalized pattern of winds at low level (about 1000 feet) under both stationary and non-stationary conditions. ...
Precipitation Probability Forecasts–Problems Seen via a Comprehensive Verification
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A number of problems that arise in making probability of precipitation (PoP) forecasts are noted and discussed, and solutions are given where known. This effort is based on a long-standing extensive verification of PoP's ...
Combining Precipitation Probabilities
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Two methods are discussed for combining the routine forecasts of the 12 h probability of precipitation made by the National Weather Service, for use when longer period probabilities are desired but cannot be created ...
Precipitation Probability-Comparing Offices for Skill
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Using screening regression procedures, an attempt has been made to standardize probability of precipitation Brier scores for difficulty. Climatological factors affecting the difficulty of forecasting used are: precipitation ...
AN EXPERIMENT IN PROGNOSTICATION
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An experiment was conducted during the period 11 January to 21 February 1956, for the purpose of determining the manner in which graphical integrations can best be used in providing prognostic charts for sea level and for ...