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RISThe Sensitivity of a Coupled Atmospheric–Oceanic GCM to Prescribed Low-Level Clouds over the Ocean and Tropical Landmasses
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The sensitivity of a coupled general circulation model (CGCM) to tropical marine stratocumulus (MSc) clouds and low-level clouds over the tropical land is examined. The hypothesis that low-level clouds play an important ...
Investigating the Influence of Anthropogenic Forcing and Natural Variability on the 2014 Hawaiian Hurricane Season
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Statistical–Dynamical Seasonal Forecast of North Atlantic and U.S. Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using the High-Resolution GFDL FLOR Coupled Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: etrospective seasonal forecasts of North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the period 1980?2014 are conducted using a GFDL high-resolution coupled climate model [Forecast-Oriented Low Ocean Resolution (FLOR)]. ...
Statistical–Dynamical Predictions of Seasonal North Atlantic Hurricane Activity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: killfully predicting North Atlantic hurricane activity months in advance is of potential societal significance and a useful test of our understanding of the factors controlling hurricane activity. In this paper, a ...
Estimating decadal predictability for the Southern Ocean using the GFDL CM2.1 model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study explores the potential predictability of the Southern Ocean (SO) climate on decadal timescales as represented in the GFDL CM2.1 model using prognostic methods. We conduct perfect model predictability experiments ...
Dominant Role of Subtropical Pacific Warming in Extreme Eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons: 2015 and the Future
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe 2015 hurricane season in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean (EPO and CPO), particularly around Hawaii, was extremely active, including a record number of tropical cyclones (TCs) and the first instance of ...
Seasonal Prediction Skill of Northern Extratropical Surface Temperature Driven by the Stratosphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study explores the role of the stratosphere as a source of seasonal predictability of surface climate over Northern Hemisphere extratropics both in the observations and climate model predictions. A suite of ...
Improved Seasonal Prediction of Temperature and Precipitation over Land in a High-Resolution GFDL Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study demonstrates skillful seasonal prediction of 2-m air temperature and precipitation over land in a new high-resolution climate model developed by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory and explores the possible ...
Improved Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Responses to ENSO in the Western North Pacific in the High-Resolution GFDL HiFLOR Coupled Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study aims to assess whether, and the extent to which, an increase in atmospheric resolution of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) Forecast-Oriented Low Ocean Resolution version of CM2.5 (FLOR) with 50-km ...
Simulation and Prediction of Category 4 and 5 Hurricanes in the High-Resolution GFDL HiFLOR Coupled Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: new high-resolution Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) coupled model [the High-Resolution Forecast-Oriented Low Ocean Resolution (FLOR) model (HiFLOR)] has been developed and used to investigate potential skill ...