Abstract: Regional temperature change projections for the twenty-first century are generated using a multimodel ensemble of atmosphere?ocean general circulation models. The models are assigned coefficients jointly, using a Bayesian ...

Abstract: Bayesian hidden Markov model (HMM) for climate downscaling of multisite daily precipitation is presented. A generalized linear model (GLM) component allows exogenous variables to directly influence the distributional ...

Abstract: Given that over the course of the next 10?30 years the magnitude of natural decadal variations may rival that of anthropogenically forced climate change on regional scales, it is envisioned that initialized decadal predictions ...

Abstract: A new field of study, ?decadal prediction,? is emerging in climate science. Decadal prediction lies between seasonal/interannual forecasting and longer-term climate change projections, and focuses on time-evolving regional ...