Abstract: It is now well known that changes in initial conditions can give rise to substantial changes in the forecasts even at the long range. Ensemble averaging of forecasts from different initial conditions provides an efficient ...

Abstract: The onset of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) represents one of the most dramatic transitions in the regional circulation pattern. The onset also marks the beginning of the main rainy season for India; advanced and accurate ...

Abstract: he damage potential of a tropical cyclone is proportional to a power (generally greater than one) of intensity, which demands high accuracy in forecasting intensity for managing this natural disaster. However, the current ...