Abstract: The relative independence of the tropical cyclone track forecasts produced by regional and global numerical weather prediction models suggests that a simple ensemble average or consensus forecast derived from a combination ...

Abstract: The tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts of the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) were evaluated for a number of data assimilation experiments conducted using observational data from two ...

Abstract: A simultaneous equations solution technique is developed to estimate the noise variance density spectra of three or more independent measurement systems observing the same input. Using dew-point data collected during a ...

Abstract: The extent to which the tropical cyclone (TC) track forecast error of a consensus model (CONU) routinely used by the forecasters at the National Hurricane Center can be predicted is determined. A number of predictors of ...

Abstract: The effect of ship heating on dry-bulb temperature measurements made during GATE is investigated. It is found that measurements taken on a bow boom are less affected than those taken on the ship's bridge. It is also seen ...

Abstract: Two assimilation schemes are described in which continuous indirect insertion of satellite-derived temperatures is performed, using a global primitive equation forecast model. Both schemes employ a relatively simple indirect ...

Abstract: In January of 1988, significant upgrades were made to the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS). Among these improvements was the implementation of a multivariate optimum interpolation analysis ...

Abstract: In June 1990, the assimilation of synthetic tropical cyclone observations into the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) was initiated at Fleet Numerical Oceanography Center (FNOC). These observations ...

Abstract: A cross-spectral analysis method is developed to estimate the noise variance spectra of three or more independent measurement systems observing the same input. The noise is modeled using a first-order autoregressive process. ...

Abstract: he extent to which the tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecast error of IVCN and S5YY, consensus models routinely used by forecasters at the National Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, respectively, ...