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Evaluation of the IRI'S “Net Assessment” Seasonal Climate Forecasts: 1997–2001
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI) net assessment seasonal temperature and precipitation forecasts are evaluated for the 4-yr period from October?December 1997 to October?December 2001. These ...
Three Putative Types of El Niño Revealed by Spatial Variability in Impact on Australian Wheat Yield
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon significantly impacts rainfall and ensuing crop yields in many parts of the world. In Australia, El Niño events are often associated with severe drought conditions. However, ...
Cross–Time Scale Interactions and Rainfall Extreme Events in Southeastern South America for the Austral Summer. Part I: Potential Predictors
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he physical mechanisms and predictability associated with extreme daily rainfall in southeastern South America (SESA) are investigated for the December?February season in a two-part study. Through a k-mean analysis, this ...
Cross–Time Scale Interactions and Rainfall Extreme Events in Southeastern South America for the Austral Summer. Part II: Predictive Skill
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: otential and real predictive skill of the frequency of extreme rainfall in southeastern South America for the December?February season are evaluated in this paper, finding evidence indicating that mechanisms of climate ...